Шинэ ном, сэтгүүл 2008.12.24

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Шинэ ном, сэтгүүл 2008.12.24

Шинэ ном, сэтгүүл 2008.12.24

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Global Economic Prospects 2009: Commodities at the Crossroads

English
Published December 2008
by World Bank
ISBN: 0-8213-7799-X

The eruption of the worldwide financial crisis has radically recast prospects for the world economy. Global Economic Prospects 2009 analyzes the implications of the crisis for low- and middle-income countries, including an in-depth look at long-term prospects for global commodity markets and the policies of both commodity producing and consuming nations.

Developing countries face sharply higher borrowing costs and reduced access to capital, cutting into their capacity to finance investment spending. The looming recession presents new risks, coming as it does on the heels of the recent food and fuel crisis.

Commodity markets, meanwhile, are at a crossroads. Following decades of low prices and weak investment in supply capacity, commodity prices first spiked and have now plummeted in response to the financial crisis.

In the longer run, commodities are not expected to be in short supply. Prices should be higher than they were in the 1990s but much lower than in the recent past. These higher prices should provide producers with sufficient incentive to discover new supplies, improve output from existing resources, and promote greater conservation and substitution with more abundant alternatives. At the same time, slower population growth will ease the pace at which commodity demand grows. Policies to limit carbon emissions and boost agricultural investment, along with the dissemination of efficient techniques, should also contribute to this long-term outcome.

This year’s Global Economic Prospects also looks at government responses to the recent price boom.

The Future of Freedom: Illiberal Democracy at Home and Abroad, Revised Edition

English
Published 2007
by Fareed Zakaria
ISBN: 978-0-393-33152-3

Translated into twenty languages, The Future of Freedom is a modern classic that uses historical analysis to shed light on the present, examining how democracy has changed our politics, economics, and social relations. Prescient in laying out the distinction between democracy and liberty, the book contains a new afterword on the United States's occupation of Iraq and a wide-ranging update of the book's themes.

"The Future, of Freedom makes you see the world differently. It is also fun to read, which is almost unheard of in books propounding grand theories about foreign policy. [It] is a work of tremendous originality and insight." —Washington Post

"Splendid. . . . Mr. Zakaria flies his colors bright and bold."
—Wall Street Journal

"Intensely provocative and valuable." —BusinessWeek

"In his brave and ambitious book, Fareed Zakaria has updated
Tocqueville. , . . The range of Zakaria's knowledge is impressive. . . .
It deserves a wide readership." —New York Times Book Review

"With a command of history and contemporary politics on a global scale,
Zakaria persuasively shows that democracy by itself is not the answer to peace
and prosperity. . , . Essential reading for anyone worried about the promotion
and preservation of liberty." —Chicago Tribune

 

Outliers: The Story of Success

English
by Malcolm Gladwell (#1 bestselling author of The Tipping Point and Blink)
Published 2008
ISBN: 978-0-316-01792-3

There is a story that is usually told about extremely successful people, a story that focuses on intelligence and ambition. In Outliers Malcolm Gladwell argues that the true story of success is very different, and that if we want to understand how some people thrive, we should spend more time looking around them — at such things as their family, their birthplace, or even their birth date. The story of success is more complex — and a lot more interesting — than it initially appears.
Outliers explains what the Beatles and Bill Gates have in common, the extraordinary success of Asians at math, the hidden advantages of star athletes, why all top New York lawyers have the same resume, and the reason you've never heard of the world's smartest man — all in terms of generation, family, culture, and class. It matters what year you were born if you want to be a Silicon Valley billionaire, Gladwell argues, and it matters where you were born if you want to be a successful pilot. The lives of outliers — those people whose achievements fall outside normal experience — follow a peculiar and unexpected logic, and in making that logic plain Gladwell presents a fascinating and provocative blueprint for making the most of human potential.

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